The Weather in Chennai

pibikay · Apr 3rd, 2009, 11:24

I am doing a bit of .........? I have heard from authoritative sources that the weather man in India can accurately predict the onset of the monsoon and its strength .But political forces joining with the speculators do not allow him the freedom he wants.
They predict the extent and nature of the summer and winter very accurately

Nick-H · Apr 3rd, 2009, 14:43

I think that is not right.

It is this simple: South-West Monsoon will reach Kerala on June 1st --- give or take a week or so, and (like 2008) the occasional failure.

The North-Eastern monsoon, as far as Chennai is concerned, is not such a regular animal, and nor are the Bay-of-Bengal depressions that bring us unseasonal showers and even cyclones.

India's weather is like clockwork compared to the movement of depressions across Northern Europe, and the extent of the Summer and Winter high-pressure. This is modelled on some of the most powerful computers in the world; I doubt that India has anything like the same value or sophistication of equipment.

I'm prepared to believe political interference or profiteering from almost anything --- but I don't think I believe this one.

pibikay · Apr 3rd, 2009, 15:40

Hi Nick The South-West is the most important and it is the one usually discussed in all the papers.India's economy and for the South the rivers depend on it.It is supposed to start round about 1st June.This is the varaible factor.

Nick-H · Apr 3rd, 2009, 16:04

And you don't think that the observations and predictions are given accurately and honestly?

I can remember predictions being given last year as early as a month or more before. Actually, I think that they were that the monsoon would be on time and normal --- which was wrong!, but my feeling is that they do try!

Added to which, the raw information is available to all. Satellite pictures of the continent, and other meteorological data are easily accessible. Farmers and seamen have a long tradition of using both folklore and science, as well as listening to the official announcements; the government institutes are not the only sources of forecasting.

steering · Apr 4th, 2009, 22:31

due to low pressure in bay of bengal , 100kms from southeast of chennai , in a couple of days chennai may see from a drizzling to moderate downpour . if the low pressure moves in other direction , coastal andhra or coastal Tamilnadu may feel the impact .

if not in couple of days it may come after that . from light rain to downpour and speed from 50kmPh to 80kmPH .

and finally it may have the chance to dissolve also in that case no rain at all.

Nick-H · Apr 5th, 2009, 00:48

Yes! And when, after an unseasonal three days of downpour, they say it is set to get worse --- we have sunshine from the next day on!

People are saying that this summer will be a very hot one.

Who has Weatherfox addin for Firefox? I'm looking at a line of 37s for Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, and it's only early April.

Probably means it is going to rain!

karthik2020 · Apr 7th, 2009, 20:37

Let the temperature go high. But the Electricity should not go OFF. So we should pray that we have enough supply so that atleast we can be safe in our environment.

Nick-H · Apr 7th, 2009, 21:59

(Not sure that this comment is acceptable, and no, ex-mods don;t get any extra leeway but here goes)

Quote:

...But the Electricity should not go OFF. So we should pray that we have enough supply

You might find voting more effective than praying: this is one thing that I'm sure all can agree that no god has anything to do with!

karthik2020 · Apr 8th, 2009, 11:06

Sorry I may be wrong to write those. I apologize.

I am trying to say that we should not experience the 'power holidays' during summer.

Nick-H · Apr 8th, 2009, 11:24

Sorry... I meant that my comment, verging on politics, might not be acceptable.

I was disagreeing with yours, but not in any way suggesting that you should not have made it

pibikay · Apr 8th, 2009, 12:59

Thr papers say there will be no power cut in Tamilbadu Metros.But I doubt the statemnt.There will be unofficial power cuts xalled maintainanace

steering · Apr 12th, 2009, 11:06

I feel the rain (kodai mazhai) started as I mentioned earlier .

Quote:

Originally Posted by steering

you may have "kodai mazhai" means summer rain before the summer starts in april end .

but chances are remote when weatherman (ramanan) says when there will be rain , mostly won't happen .

pibikay · Apr 12th, 2009, 17:01

There has been no rain in Chennai.Only in the southern districts

steering · Apr 12th, 2009, 21:09

Quote:

Originally Posted by pibikay

There has been no rain in Chennai.Only in the southern districts

yes . you are right . iam still out of station. in the south .

Nick-H · Apr 12th, 2009, 22:57

And Tuesday's rain has been cancelled, and now a very hot day is forecast!

Hey, we could get as fond of talking about the weather as the Brits!!!

Apr 4th, 2009, 22:31	#35
steering Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2009 Location: RLT, south india , chennai Posts: 153	a typical forecast by whetherman in chennai due to low pressure in bay of bengal , 100kms from southeast of chennai , in a couple of days chennai may see from a drizzling to moderate downpour . if the low pressure moves in other direction , coastal andhra or coastal Tamilnadu may feel the impact . if not in couple of days it may come after that . from light rain to downpour and speed from 50kmPh to 80kmPH . and finally it may have the chance to dissolve also in that case no rain at all. __________________ Always Expect the Unexpected !!

Apr 7th, 2009, 20:37	#37
karthik2020 Member Join Date: Mar 2009 Location: Chennai Posts: 26	Let the temperature go high. But the Electricity should not go OFF. So we should pray that we have enough supply so that atleast we can be safe in our environment. __________________ Karthik

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Apr 3rd, 2009, 11:24	#31
pibikay Senior Member Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: Chennai, India Posts: 372	I am doing a bit of .........? I have heard from authoritative sources that the weather man in India can accurately predict the onset of the monsoon and its strength .But political forces joining with the speculators do not allow him the freedom he wants. They predict the extent and nature of the summer and winter very accurately

Apr 3rd, 2009, 14:43	#32
Nick-H This is just a cameo appearance Join Date: Oct 2004 Location: Chennai, India Posts: 36,189	I think that is not right. It is this simple: South-West Monsoon will reach Kerala on June 1st --- give or take a week or so, and (like 2008) the occasional failure. The North-Eastern monsoon, as far as Chennai is concerned, is not such a regular animal, and nor are the Bay-of-Bengal depressions that bring us unseasonal showers and even cyclones. India's weather is like clockwork compared to the movement of depressions across Northern Europe, and the extent of the Summer and Winter high-pressure. This is modelled on some of the most powerful computers in the world; I doubt that India has anything like the same value or sophistication of equipment. I'm prepared to believe political interference or profiteering from almost anything --- but I don't think I believe this one.

Apr 3rd, 2009, 15:40	#33
pibikay Senior Member Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: Chennai, India Posts: 372	Hi Nick The South-West is the most important and it is the one usually discussed in all the papers.India's economy and for the South the rivers depend on it.It is supposed to start round about 1st June.This is the varaible factor.

Apr 3rd, 2009, 16:04	#34
Nick-H This is just a cameo appearance Join Date: Oct 2004 Location: Chennai, India Posts: 36,189	And you don't think that the observations and predictions are given accurately and honestly? I can remember predictions being given last year as early as a month or more before. Actually, I think that they were that the monsoon would be on time and normal --- which was wrong!, but my feeling is that they do try! Added to which, the raw information is available to all. Satellite pictures of the continent, and other meteorological data are easily accessible. Farmers and seamen have a long tradition of using both folklore and science, as well as listening to the official announcements; the government institutes are not the only sources of forecasting.

Apr 5th, 2009, 00:48	#36
Nick-H This is just a cameo appearance Join Date: Oct 2004 Location: Chennai, India Posts: 36,189	Yes! And when, after an unseasonal three days of downpour, they say it is set to get worse --- we have sunshine from the next day on! People are saying that this summer will be a very hot one. Who has Weatherfox addin for Firefox? I'm looking at a line of 37s for Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, and it's only early April. Probably means it is going to rain!

Apr 8th, 2009, 11:06	#39
karthik2020 Member Join Date: Mar 2009 Location: Chennai Posts: 26	Sorry I may be wrong to write those. I apologize. I am trying to say that we should not experience the 'power holidays' during summer.

Apr 8th, 2009, 11:24	#40
Nick-H This is just a cameo appearance Join Date: Oct 2004 Location: Chennai, India Posts: 36,189	Sorry... I meant that my comment, verging on politics, might not be acceptable. I was disagreeing with yours, but not in any way suggesting that you should not have made it

Apr 8th, 2009, 12:59	#41
pibikay Senior Member Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: Chennai, India Posts: 372	Thr papers say there will be no power cut in Tamilbadu Metros.But I doubt the statemnt.There will be unofficial power cuts xalled maintainanace

Apr 12th, 2009, 17:01	#43
pibikay Senior Member Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: Chennai, India Posts: 372	There has been no rain in Chennai.Only in the southern districts

Apr 12th, 2009, 22:57	#45
Nick-H This is just a cameo appearance Join Date: Oct 2004 Location: Chennai, India Posts: 36,189	And Tuesday's rain has been cancelled, and now a very hot day is forecast! Hey, we could get as fond of talking about the weather as the Brits!!!